Saturday, April 23, 2016

La Nina and our summertime temps.

Ohhhh....Ugga Bugga...Here is the forecast for this summer from
"The historically strong El Nino event is weakening rapidly and we should transition to La Nina conditions by summer and this favors another hot summer, especially across the northern U.S.," said Dr. Crawford. 
Another factor to consider regarding temperatures this summer are sea surface temperatures in the western North Atlantic, which are forecast to be warmer than we have seen over the past five years. That often results in warmer temperatures in the eastern U.S.  In addition, conditions across the Pacific Ocean, influenced by the strong El Nino, will favor warmer-than-average temperatures across much of the West, especially the Pacific Northwest. 
Most computer forecast models continue to suggest that the transition from El Nino to La Nina conditions will occur this summer. Typically, La Nina summers feature hotter temperatures from the central U.S. into the Northeast, with the hottest month being July.  
Crawford notes that during previous years where rapid changes from El Nino to La Nina occurred, the worst of the summer heat was focused from the northern Plains to the Great Lakes states. 
Overall,  computer model guidance indicates widespread warmth with little hint of cooler than average temperatures across the nation. The West will likely see warm and dry conditions, strongly influenced by the recent El Nino."

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